thursday at oak tree

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decent day yesterday as i just missed a nice score with gold sphinx in the sixth. this is a sparse betting card, but let's peruse the menu anyway.

r4: kewen. this son of formal gold has a lot of talent and got an absolutely brutal trip last time out under the less-than masterful hands of tyler baze. we get julie now and the blinkers go off, so i think kewen will run much better here. a live longshot may be choir master, who should improve off her stateside debut.

r6: wildly excessive. we should get a nice price on this matlow trainee who obviously has his share of physical problems as he's very lightly raced for a five year old. i generally don't back these types of horses and lean towards the more lightly raced of the group, but i think tizbud may be a little vulnerable off the layoff. he's clearly the brst horse, but perhaps this is a good time to catch him napping as he embarks on his comeback towards graded stakes land.

r7: geronimo. not the lcassiest horse on the grounds, but no matter, this is a wide open turf sprint, which makes for a great betting race. o'neill brings this chilean bred back down the hill and i think he drifts higher than his 9/2 morning line. look for him to be flying late inside the 16th pole.

good luck.
 

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thanks for spending the time to find these and post this info. LEts have a day out WEST!
 

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let's recap the day:

r4: kewen obliges as the favorite in the fourth. up the ladder for him as julie gave him a very patient ride.

r6: i was right about the premise, but picked the wrong horse. tizbud was not ready to fire running a route of ground, but wildly excessive tired to hold third at 23 to 1, outfinishing tizbud at 4/5. another longshot, red warrior gets the money.

r7: for the second time in two days i get the brutal ride/trip of the day as geronimo is much the best in the turf dash but julie can't manage to find room until the final 80 yards and he falls just short. golden arrow was extremely fortunate to win the race.

oh well, we'll keep plugging away.
 

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Solid Pick-with wildly excessive -$8.00 to show. Keep up the good picking
 

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